Tricks: the complete list of what does not work

Every instant-win game grows its own folklore of tricks. Here are this one's, checked with the only tool that helps: how a round is actually generated.

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Why this page exists

Looking for tricks is reasonable: the game looks like it has controllable parts, and the screen invites you to think the timing of a tap matters. The short answer is that it does not, and the useful answer is understanding why — because then you can recognise a new trick without paying to test it.

It all reduces to one fact: the round is drawn independently and its outcome is settled before you can influence anything. The tool is dealt without reference to previous rounds and the contents of the shaft do not react to your stake.

'After a few crosses a good pickaxe is due'

No. The tool draw is independent in each round, so a run of crosses does not change the odds of the next one. The feeling of a debt owing is real; the debt is not, and it is the belief that costs the most money on this title.

The same reasoning demolishes the mirror version — that after a diamond pickaxe you should stop because the game has 'paid'. Neither holds: the previous round is not information about the next, and any rule built on it is noise dressed as method.

'Doubling after a loss recovers it'

It recovers the loss in the sessions where the run breaks early, and that is exactly what makes the system look like it works. In the rest it multiplies the loss, and those are the sessions nobody recounts. The expected value does not move: only the shape of the curve does.

On a game with second-long rounds the problem is worse, because the progression advances far faster than the head registers. Forty rounds at this pace are a couple of minutes, and a geometric progression over two minutes is how an evening's budget disappears before the first coffee.

'Some hours are better than others'

There is no relationship between the clock and the outcome. The generator does not check the time, and the shaft does not fill with expensive ore at night. What does change with the hour is your tiredness, and that affects the only decision you control, which is when to stop.

There is a more sophisticated version of the same myth: that a game 'pays' after a long dry spell because the operator adjusts something. At a licensed operator the game is served as the studio certified it, and those parameters sit inside the technical requirements the regulator supervises. There is no lever to pull.

An arrow cell deflecting the pickaxe descent in Falling Pickaxe
Cells deflect the descent with no player input: there is nothing to time and nothing to aim.

'95% RTP means I get back 95 of every 100'

Not in your session. The 95% is an average over millions of rounds, and an evening is far too short a sample to resemble it. What the figure does describe is the cost of the game repeated over time: about €20 for every €400 wagered.

Reading RTP as a guaranteed refund leads to the wrong conclusion that playing more 'gets you closer' to 95%. Playing more gets you closer to the average, and the average is a loss. The figure is not a promise of recovery: it is the tariff.

What actually changes your result

Stake size and round count. Nothing else. Halving the stake halves the expected cost; playing fewer rounds does the same. Any advice that does not reduce to one of those two levers is talking about something else.

And a third that belongs to you rather than the game: deciding the ending before you start. It is the only decision in the session that is not drawn at random, and therefore the only one worth thinking about.

Frequently asked questions

Is there any real trick for Falling Pickaxe?

No. Each round's outcome is drawn independently before you can influence it. The only variables you control are how much you stake and how many rounds you play.

Does doubling after a loss work?

It does not change the expected value. It works in sessions where the run breaks early and multiplies the loss in the rest. With second-long rounds, a geometric progression advances far faster than it feels.

Are there times of day when the game pays more?

No. The generator does not check the clock and the game's parameters are certified by the studio. At a licensed operator those parameters sit inside the technical requirements the regulator supervises.

Does playing more rounds move me toward 95%?

It moves you toward the average, and the average is a loss of roughly 5% of turnover. RTP is not a guaranteed refund: it is the cost of the game repeated over time.

Read on

TL
Tobias Lindqvist
Instant-win game analyst

Last updated: September 2026

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